Outcomes of out-of-hospital cardiac arrest in Ireland 2012-2020: Protocol for an observational study [version 1; peer review: 1 approved, 3 approved with reservations]

Background Out-of-hospital cardiac arrest (OHCA) is a leading cause of preventable mortality that now affects almost 3,000 people each year in Ireland. Survival is low at 6-7%, compared to a European average of 8%. The Irish Out-of-Hospital Cardiac Registry (OHCAR) prospectively gathers data on all OHCA in Ireland where emergency medical services attempted resuscitation. The Irish health system has undergone several developments that are relevant to OHCA care in the period 2012-2020. OHCAR data provides a means of exploring temporal trends in OHCA incidence, care, and outcomes over time. It also provides a means of exploring whether system developments were associated with a change in key outcomes. This research aims to summarise key trends in available OHCAR data from the period 2012 – 2020, to explore and model predictors of bystander CPR, bystander defibrillation, and survival, and to explore the hypothesis that significant system level temporal developments were associated with improvements in these outcomes. Methods The following protocol sets out the relevant background and research approach for an observational study that will address the above aims. Key trends in available OHCAR data (2012 – 2020) will be described and evaluated using descriptive summaries and graphical displays. Multivariable logistic regression will be used to model predictors of ‘bystander CPR’, ‘bystander defibrillation’ and ‘survival to hospital discharge’ and to explore the effects (if any) of system level developments in 2015/2016 and the COVID-19 pandemic (2020) on these outcomes. Discussion The findings of this research will be used to understand temporal trends in the care processes and outcomes for OHCA in Ireland over the period 2012-2020. The results can further be used to optimise future health system developments for Out-of-Hospital Cardiac Arrest in both Ireland and internationally.