Is real GDP stationary? Evidence from a panel unit root test with cross-sectional dependence and historical data

  • Nektarios Aslanidis
  • , Stilianos Fountas

Research output: Contribution to a Journal (Peer & Non Peer)Articlepeer-review

14 Citations (Scopus)

Abstract

We use historical data that cover more than one century on real GDP for industrial countries and employ the Pesaran panel unit root test that allows for crosssectional dependence to test for a unit root on realGDP.At first, we find strong evidence against the unit root null. Our results seem to be robust to the chosen group of countries and, in most cases, the sample period. However, the sequential panel selection method reveals that the rejection of the unit root null is due to the stationarity of real GDP in a few countries only. Real GDP is less stationary mostly in fixed exchange rate regimes like the Gold Standard and the Bretton Woods system.

Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)101-108
Number of pages8
JournalEmpirical Economics
Volume46
Issue number1
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - 3 Feb 2013
Externally publishedYes

Keywords

  • CIPS test
  • Cross-sectional dependence
  • Real GDP stationarity
  • Sequential panel selection method

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